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WSA-ENLIL+Cone Model For 2.0 AU with Completion Time:
2024-02-10T15:21Z
Model Inputs: 2024-02-10T07:00:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=6.0, Lat.=-37.0, Speed=967.0, HalfAngle=39.0, Time21.5=2024-02-10T10:27Z Model Outputs: Earth Impact: Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2024-02-12T22:31Z (+- 7 hours) [PE: -3.1 hr] Duration of disturbance (hr) = 30.5 (+- 8 hours) Minimum magnetopause standoff distance: Rmin(Re) = 5.7 Possible Kp index: (kp)90=4 (kp)135=6 (kp)180=6 Other Location(s) Impact: Psyche with estimated shock arrival time 2024-02-15T08:15Z Solar Orbiter with estimated shock arrival time 2024-02-12T18:43Z STEREO A with estimated shock arrival time 2024-02-12T20:46Z Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240210_102700_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240210_102700_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240210_102700_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240210_102700_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240210_102700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240210_102700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240210_102700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240210_102700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240210_102700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240210_102700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240210_102700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240210_102700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240210_102700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240210_102700_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Psyche_timeline.gif Note : This CME may also impact Bepi around 2024-12-11T00:00Z based on visual inspection of simulation animation results. The Psyche timeline cuts off before the CME arrival, but the simulation results returned an arrival at 2024-02-15T08:15Z. Submitted on 2024-02-10T15:25Z by Mary Aronne A Notification with ID 20240210-AL-003 was sent on 2024-02-10T15:52Z |
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